Wednesday, October 20, 2021

Cutting Methane Emissions is the quickest way to slow Climate Change (and going vegan helps)

A report produced by the United Nations and the Climate and Clean Air Coalition has shown that cutting methane emissions is “the strongest lever we have to slow climate change over the next 25 years”, according to UN environment chief Inger AndersenMethane has caused about 30% of global heating to date and the gas is 84 times more powerful in trapping heat than carbon dioxide over a 20-year period, but it breaks down in the atmosphere relatively quickly – within about a decade, unlike CO2 which remains in the air for centuries. This means that reducing methane emissions an have a rapid effect in terms of cutting greenhouse gases.

The report found that a 45% cut in methane emissions by 2030, equivalent to 180 million tonnes per year (Mt/y), would avoid nearly 0.3C of global heating and keep the world on track to meet the goal of limiting global temperature rise to 1.5C, and that this could be achieved using existing technology at reasonable cost.  Methane also contributes to the formation of ground-level ozone, a “dangerous air pollutant”, and the report estimates that reducing methane emissions by 45% would prevent 255,000 early deaths, 775,000 asthma-related hospital visits, 73 billion hours of lost labour from extreme heat, and 26 million tonnes of crop losses globally every year.  (Ground-level ozone suppresses plant growth, and the report estimates that every million tonnes reduction in methane production would prevent the annual loss of 145,000 tonnes of wheat, soybeans, maize and rice.)

About 60% of total methane emissions are attributable to human activities, mostly from fossil fuels (about 35% of anthropogenic emissions), agriculture (about 40%) and waste (about 20%), the remainder coming from natural sources.  Emissions from livestock due to enteric fermentation and manure management are the largest source of agricultural emissions, accounting for 32% (or almost one-third) of global anthropogenic emissions.  Ruminant animals alone produce an estimated 115 Mt/y of methane (a single cow burps 600 litres of methane every day), while rice cultivation adds another 30 Mt/y of methane, accounting for 8% of global anthropogenic emissions. 

The report estimates that the adoption of “healthy diets” with a lower meat and dairy content could reduce methane emissions by 15-30 Mt/y, with additional benefits from reductions in emissions of carbon dioxide and nitrous oxide, the other main greenhouse gases.  However, with cattle rearing (whether for meat or milk) responsible for around 100 Mt/y of methane it’s easy to see that the widespread adoption of vegan diets could result in a much greater reduction in methane emissions, helping to apply the brakes to runaway global warming.

Paul Appleby is a Fellow of the UK Vegetarian Society and a former trustee of the Society and the UK Vegan Society.  He was secretary of Oxford Vegetarians (the forerunner of OxVeg) for 25 years from 1983 to 2008.  Until he retired in 2020, Paul was a Senior Statistician at the Cancer Epidemiology Unit, University of Oxford, working mainly on long-term studies of the health of vegetarians and vegans, including the EPIC-Oxford study.

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