Irish beef farmers are making a loss. But is that enough to force them to get out of beef farming? There are many other pressures on beef farmers, as well as proposed incentives to get them to exit the sector. Could we see a reduction in the Irish beef herd into the future?
By Bronwyn Slater
In this article we look at the many reasons why a reduction in the Irish beef herd is both necessary and practical. Firstly, beef farming is harmful to the climate as it produces a high proportion of Ireland’s greenhouse gases. Ireland will have to pay heavy fines in the future if these emissions are not reduced. Secondly, Irish beef farmers are making a loss. In 2019 farmers held protests outside meat plants, demanding a higher price for their product. They say they are failing to make a living from beef. Not only that, but various farming bodies have proposed measures to encourage farmers to divest from beef, seeing it as both a loss-making enterprise and environmentally damaging.
Nature Rising – an Irish campaign to remove subsidies from animal agriculture – has proposed a series of measures to encourage a move from animal to plant-based farming. The EU’s new Farm to Fork Strategy may also result in a reduction of the Irish beef herd, through its promotion of a plant-based diet and climate proposals. There are many forces driving a reduction in the beef herd, and we discuss all of these below.
Greenhouse Gas Emissions:
Ireland’s greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture are 23% higher than the global average and 3 times higher than the EU average. In 2017 33% of Ireland’s emissions were from agriculture – the EU average that year was 10%. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) predicts that emissions from Irish agriculture will continue to grow to 2030, mainly as a result of increasing dairy herd numbers.
Methane, which is produced by cows and sheep, is 28 times more damaging to the climate than CO2. But it should be noted that methane only lasts for around 12 years in the atmosphere, whereas CO2 lasts for around 100 years.
Ruminants (ie. sheep and cows) are responsible for other climate changing emissions in addition to methane. These include nitrous oxide and carbon dioxide from the animals’ manure, feed and input production, and from land-use change including deforestation and the clearance of other vegetation for pasture or grain-feed production. Many people do not realise that going vegan is the single most powerful action you can take in order to reduce your climate footprint.
Agricultural emissions have increased in recent years due to the expansion of agriculture production under the Food Wise 2025 strategy, the removal of milk quotas, and the growing international demand for animal-sourced foods. 90% of our beef and 85% of our dairy output is exported.
From 2021 on, this will cost us money, as we are exceeding our EU emissions targets. Ireland could face annual fines of up to €200m because of its failure to meet internationally binding greenhouse gas emissions targets. The fines take the form of payments to other member states for the purchase of emission allowances. As we move towards 2030 these allowances will become more expensive. Commentators say that a reduction in ruminant numbers is essential in order to meet our targets.
Beef farmers are operating at a loss:
Most Irish beef farmers are operating at a loss, and many have to subsidise their income by working outside the farm. For this reason, analysts looking for ways to reduce Ireland’s emissions have naturally singled out reductions in the beef herd. But it should be remembered that dairy farming – a much more profitable sector – contributes more than the beef herd to Ireland’s emissions. Irish dairy farms are producing up to three times more greenhouse gas and ammonia emissions than cattle, sheep or tillage farming. A recent study of 10 EU countries showed that Irish Dairy was the third highest in terms of greenhouse gas emissions.
Incentivising farmers to give up beef farming:
There have been some suggestions that farmers who reduce the size of their herd could be offered a voluntary scheme with an environmental dimension, in return for an additional payment. In this way their income could be increased, or at least maintained, while at the same time herd size (and emissions) are reduced.
In its Annual Review 2018, the Climate Change Advisory Council (CCAC) noted that Ireland was “completely off-course in terms of its commitments to addressing the challenges of Climate Change”. The Council advocated a 53% cut in the national herd, recommending a restructuring of CAP payments to incentivise a reduction in cattle numbers.
The Irish Cattle and Sheep Farmers Association (ICSA) has proposed a €200 payment per suckler (beef) cow, per year, for a period of five years as an incentive package to reduce herd numbers. Entry into the scheme would be on a strictly voluntary basis. They suggested that this exit package, or Suckler Redirection Scheme, should be available on an EU-wide basis. The strategy also involves pushing for innovative policies around generating an income from alternative sources, including forestry.
Farmers themselves are looking for alternatives. In 2019 a group of farmers from all over Ireland who met to discuss the crisis in the beef industry recommended that a special body be set up to explore all the possibilities of alternative land use, with a heavy emphasis on environment and leisure.
Many commentators and farming organisations have pointed out that a reduction in (relatively) carbon-efficient Irish beef or milk production may well be replaced by less carbon-efficient production in other countries, a phenomenon called ‘carbon leakage’. Brazil is a case in point, where Amazon forests (the lungs of the planet) are being razed at a rate of one football field per minute in order to create pasture for grazing. But the carbon leakage argument must be weighed against the fact that Ireland is exceeding its emissions targets and if no action is taken the exchequer will have to pay a heavy price in the years to come.
It should be noted that both Irish and South American Beef are extremely inefficient at producing protein compared with plant based sources of protein, with beef producing an average of 60 times more GHG emissions than beans.
Nature Rising – the campaign to move subsidies to plant-based farming:
Nature Rising is an Irish campaign to end subsidies for animal farming by incentivising a move to plant-based agriculture and other farming alternatives. The goals of the Nature Rising campaign are as follows:
Farmers should be allowed to retain their current CAP Payments in return for Ecosystems Services
- Farmers who divest from animal farming should be allowed to keep their current CAP payments in return for Ecosystem Services. This would result in increased income for farmers.
- Current CAP regulations state that in order to be eligible for payments a farmer must be actively engaged in some farming practise – either animal or plant-based farming. Nature Rising would like to see this regulation removed so that farmers can receive an income from biodiversity restoration and other environmentally beneficial activities on their land if they divest from animal agriculture.
Support farmers in transitioning to Plant Based Agriculture
- Set up an agency to help farmers transition to plant based agriculture, and provide financial support for farms to convert from animal agriculture to plant based agriculture.
Expand the horticulture industry in Ireland
- Encourage more farmers to grow crops such as fruit, vegetables, nuts, seeds, legumes, pulses and hemp.
- Reduce dependence on chemicals in agriculture and phase out the use of dangerous pesticides.
- Support and expand the organic farming sector in Ireland.
- Support the establishment of an Irish Plant Based Milk Industry from crops like oats and hemp.
- The hemp industry in Ireland should be supported. In particular, the process of obtaining a license needs to be simplified. Hemp is a crop which is easy to grow and has a multitude of uses as we have outlined here.
- Set up Land Trusts in order to conserve land and to use the land for ecosystem restoration, establishing native woodlands, grasslands and wetlands. Farmers should have the option of donating their land to a land trust.
Encourage the public to move towards a plant-based diet
- Educate dieticians and doctors about vegan diets.
- Create a public awareness campaign about the benefits of plant-based diets.
Assist farmers who wish to retire
Around 35% of farmers are aged 65 or over. Nature Rising would like to set up a scheme which encourages farmers to retire at 65.
If these types of policies were supported then farmers who are currently making a loss from beef and other types of animal agriculture could divest from animal farming altogether and be supported in moving to alternative farming methods. 70% of farmers are heavily reliant on payments. If they were allowed to divest from animal farming while keeping their CAP payments in return for Ecosystems services their incomes would increase.
Farm to Fork 2030 Strategy:
The new Farm to Fork 2030 strategy which was announced in May this year gives some cause for hope. The strategy is heavily focused on the climate and environment. It is also proposing carbon emissions labelling for food products sold in the EU. The document also states that there must be a shift towards plant-based diets in order to improve EU citizens’ health. Action taken at EU or individual government level in order to meet these goals should see a reduction in the consumption of meat and dairy – both of which are heavy emitters of GHGs and are detrimental to human health.
The CAP post-2020 is also placing a heavy emphasis on the environment, as well as giving individual governments more power to decide how the payments are distributed. We may see a reduction in very large farm payments, and a ceiling on payments could be applied. Payments to farmers for ecosystems services may be increased and could become more widely available. All of these changes, if implemented, could facilitate a reduction in the Irish beef herd as well as farmed animal numbers in Ireland as a whole.
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